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4 Jun 2025

USD rebounds as risk appetite improves – Danske Bank

The US Dollar (USD) caught a bid across G10 FX yesterday as safe-haven flows took a breather amid improved risk sentiment, with the JPY, CHF, and particularly gold weakening, Danske Bank's FX analysts report.

EUR/USD to retain a mild topside bias

"Softer May euro area inflation data had limited market impact, with around 57bp of ECB rate cuts still priced in for the full year and a 25bp cut effectively fully priced for tomorrow's meeting. In the US, the JOLTs report painted a mixed picture - job openings and hiring ticked higher against expectations, while involuntary layoffs also edged up modestly."

"Attention now turns to today's ADP employment report and ISM services data, ahead of Friday's May payrolls. Overall, we continue to see EUR/USD as a reflection of USD vulnerability rather than EUR strength."

"With policy risks elevated, economic momentum slowing, and investor confidence still fragile, the USD likely requires a clean, data-driven narrative shift to regain traction. Until then, we expect EUR/USD to retain a mild topside bias."

Jun 4, 2025

EU’s Sefcovic: Had constructive talks with USTR Greer

European Union (EU) Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic said on Wednesday that he “had constructive talks with US Trade Representative (USTR) Jamieson Greer.”
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Jun 4, 2025

USD/JPY: Likely to trade in a higher range of 143.30/144.30 – UOB Group

Any further rebound is likely part of a higher range of 143.30/144.30 instead of a sustained advance. In the longer run, price action suggests that USD is still trading in a range, most likely between 142.10 and 145.50, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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