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9 Feb 2015
Technical outlook for treasuries – RBS
FXStreet (Barcelona) - Analysts at RBS comment on the bond market and give the technical outlook for 2s, 5s and 10s treasuries.
Key Quotes
“Treasuries have rebounded along with Bunds overnight as Greek exit fears persist along with worries about China (trade data was weaker than expected) and Ukraine developments.”
“Greek 3yrs yield ~21.5% this morning, up 340bp on the day."
“Our overnight US rates flows saw better buying on balance with overseas real$ accounts buying 5's through 10's against selling in 30yrs.”
“Overnight inter-dealer Treasury volume (4pm to 6am) was 160% of the 10-day average volume for the overnight session.”
“2s (0.624%)– Next major support doesn't emerge until ~0.80% where we found buyers back in the spring of 2011. Resistance seen at 0.40% where we'd close a gap left behind in late October. Daily momentum is bearish.”
“5s (1.44%)– Next major support comes in at 1.80% and just above. Nearby resistance lines up at ~1.155%. Daily momentum is bearish.”
“10s (1.90%)–Next major resistance comes in at ~1.60%, the May 2013 'lows'. Next support comes in ~2.40% with major support at 2.66% after that. Daily momentum is bearish.”
Key Quotes
“Treasuries have rebounded along with Bunds overnight as Greek exit fears persist along with worries about China (trade data was weaker than expected) and Ukraine developments.”
“Greek 3yrs yield ~21.5% this morning, up 340bp on the day."
“Our overnight US rates flows saw better buying on balance with overseas real$ accounts buying 5's through 10's against selling in 30yrs.”
“Overnight inter-dealer Treasury volume (4pm to 6am) was 160% of the 10-day average volume for the overnight session.”
“2s (0.624%)– Next major support doesn't emerge until ~0.80% where we found buyers back in the spring of 2011. Resistance seen at 0.40% where we'd close a gap left behind in late October. Daily momentum is bearish.”
“5s (1.44%)– Next major support comes in at 1.80% and just above. Nearby resistance lines up at ~1.155%. Daily momentum is bearish.”
“10s (1.90%)–Next major resistance comes in at ~1.60%, the May 2013 'lows'. Next support comes in ~2.40% with major support at 2.66% after that. Daily momentum is bearish.”